The Unpolitical Animal

Louis Menand wrote an excellent primer on American voters for The New Yorker in 2004. Among the fascinating insights:

Seventy per cent of Americans cannot name their senators or their congressman. Forty-nine per cent believe that the President has the power to suspend the Constitution. Only about thirty per cent name an issue when they explain why they voted the way they did, and only a fifth hold consistent opinions on issues over time. Rephrasing poll questions reveals that many people don’t understand the issues that they have just offered an opinion on. According to polls conducted in 1987 and 1989, for example, between twenty and twenty-five per cent of the public thinks that too little is being spent on welfare, and between sixty-three and sixty-five per cent feels that too little is being spent on assistance to the poor. And voters apparently do punish politicians for acts of God. In a paper written in 2004, the Princeton political scientists Christopher Achen and Larry Bartels estimate that “2.8 million people voted against Al Gore in 2000 because their states were too dry or too wet” as a consequence of that year’s weather patterns. Achen and Bartels think that these voters cost Gore seven states, any one of which would have given him the election.

If you want to understand the phenomenon of the next 14 months, I suggest you read this essay.

Best line of the day, so far

The evidence also shows great, gaping weaknesses. Giuliani’s penchant for secrecy, his tendency to value loyalty over merit and his hyperbolic rhetoric are exactly the kinds of instincts that counterterrorism experts say the U.S. can least afford right now.

Giuliani’s limitations are in fact remarkably similar to those of another man who has led the nation into a war without end.

Amanda Ripley, reporting on Giuliani’s terrorism credentials in Time.

Getting to the real issues

As reported by the Daily Howler:

A real discussion had broken out about the way to exit Iraq! It was by far the most intelligent discussion we’ve seen in any debate this year; the hopefuls were even beginning to question each other about their respective views. But our press corps flees intelligent discourse as bats avoid exposure to light. Abruptly, George Stephanopoulos brought the discussion to a halt so he could ask this question:

STEPHANOPOULOS (8/19/07): Let me move on now. We’ve got a question—we got an e-mail question from Seth Ford of South Jordan, Utah. And he said, “My question is to understand each candidate’s view of a personal God. Do they believe that through the power of prayer disasters like Hurricane Katrina or the Minnesota bridge collapse could have been prevented or lessened? I’d like each of you to answer it.”

Let me start with you, Senator Clinton.

And so, instead of explaining how she’d act in Iraq, Clinton had to explain if we could have prayed and made that bridge hold up.

Rudy Rudy Rudy

Every time Rudy tries to hype his manly ground zero bonafides these guys are going to be out there smacking him down. This stuff didn’t happen on the Mekong Delta 35 years ago. This happened very recently in the media capital of the world. His movements were well documented. You have to be a truly grandiose psychopath not to think comments like this will not come back to haunt you. Of course, that’s exactly what he is.

The above by Digby on Giuliani’s recent claim, later recanted, that he had spent as much time at Ground Zero as the workers.

And, according to this article in The Village Voice, the reason Rudy chose the World Trade Center for the city’s emergency-command center was so it would be close to City Hall:

The mayor was so personally focused on the siting and construction of the bunker that the city administrator who oversaw it testified in a subsequent lawsuit that “very senior officials,” specifically including Giuliani, “were involved,” which he said was a major difference between this and other projects. Giuliani’s office had a humidor for cigars and mementos from City Hall, including a fire horn, police hats and fire hats, as well as monogrammed towels in his bathroom. His suite was bulletproofed and he visited it often, even on weekends, bringing his girlfriend Judi Nathan there long before the relationship surfaced.

It seems to me, there’s a good chance if Rudy were elected that W would remain “the worst president ever” only for a short while.

Best line of the day, so far

In short, and I know that I’m taking a big chance in saying this, but Mitt Romney is without question the biggest and most obvious fake ever to attain public office, and that includes Jesse Ventura and Caligula’s horse. The larger point is that, to win the nomination of the clown college that is the modern Republican Party, he almost has to be. Why this is the case, it would seem to me, is worth a few minutes on our television chat shows, which seem now endlessly devoted to the topic: The Democrats — What In Hell Is Wrong With Them, Anyway? There’s a really big fish in a really small barrel over here, kids.

Charles Pierce

Best line about the YouTube debate, so far

“But what the majority of the nearly forty YouTube videos provided was authenticity which is usually as hard to find in presidential debates as humility.”

John Dickerson writing at Slate Magazine. He adds:

“It’s one thing to ask in the abstract about gay marriage. It’s another thing to have two women asking why they can’t marry each other. In one powerful question a woman being treated for breast cancer removed her wig. In another, a man asking about ending the Iraq war noted the three folded flags over his shoulder that had been on the caskets of father, grandfather and oldest son.”

Best line of the night, so far

“When asked, if elected to two terms as president, how she felt about a Clinton or Bush serving 28 straight years in the White House, Sen. Clinton replied, ‘I think it is a problem that Bush was elected in 2000. I actually thought somebody else was elected in that election.'”

CNN Political Ticker.

It’s a no-win question for her, so she handled it about as well as she might.

The Worst and the Dumbest

Rudy “I Just Make This Shit Up” Giuliani, as reported at Crooks and Liars:

“[I]f we flee Iraq, if we do what the Democrats want us to do – which is to not only flee Iraq, not only retreat in Iraq, but give them a timetable of our retreat.

“Have you ever heard of that in a history of war?”

Well, yes, that’s exactly what the U.S. did in Vietnam.

Meanwhile, AP relying on the Watergate tapes via Hullabaloo:

“Oh s—, that kid,” Nixon said when told by his chief of staff, H.R. Haldeman, of [Fred] Thompson’s appointment on Feb. 22, 1973.

“Well, we’re stuck with him,” Haldeman said.

Nixon expressed concern that Thompson was not “very smart.”

“Not extremely so,” Buzhardt agreed.

“But he’s friendly,” Nixon said.

Russert misstated elementary facts

According to the Daily Howler, yesterday Tim Russert had this exchange:

RUSSERT: All right. But it is—and we did show, in one poll, her actually beating Rudy Giuliani—

BRODY: Right.

RUSSERT: So people may hold their nose, so to speak, at this stage. Or she may be successful at transforming her image.

Two things.

One, she’s beating Giuliani in every poll including a more recent survey by one pollster Russert cited elsewhere to show a tie.

Two. “People may hold their nose.” Excuse me?! Hillary Clinton is not NewMexiKen’s choice, but clearly Russert’s remark is inapporpriate for a supposedly neutral commentator.

And so goes the national news media, framing the discussion.

All those senators and representatives running for president

Do you think Biden, Brownback, Clinton, Dodd, Hunter, Kucinich, McCain, Obama, Paul and Tancredo are having their pay reduced?

The Secretary of the Senate and the Chief Administrative Officer of the House of Representatives (upon certification by the Clerk of the House of Representatives), respectively, shall deduct from the monthly payments (or other periodic payments authorized by law) of each Member or Delegate the amount of his salary for each day that he has been absent from the Senate or House, respectively, unless such Member or Delegate assigns as the reason for such absence the sickness of himself or of some member of his family.

US CODE: Title 2, 39. Deductions for absence

McCain has missed something approaching 50 votes this year.

Best line of the day, so far

“The fact that he has no accomplishments makes him uniquely qualified for the modern presidency. The fact that he has no accomplishments and has been on Law and Order makes him well nigh a freaking political superstar.”

Matt Taibbi on Fred Thompson.

Taibbi also says, “[I]f you think my coverage of the Bush administration is unkind, wait until Hillary Clinton becomes president.”

Two of the reasons they call it the Comedy Channel

“Last night, CNN hosted the second in a series of infinite Democratic debates. Most people feel candidates should get more time to answer the questions than contestants on ‘Deal or No Deal’ get. What is with the raising the hand thing? From now on the only question candidates can answer by raising their hands should be ‘Are you happy?’ and ‘Do you know it?'”

— Jon Stewart

“Speaking of threats to public safety, I don’t know if you watched the Democratic presidential debate last night — I didn’t. But I assume I would have been really impressed with the way Hillary, Obama, and Edwards cemented their status as front runners; Gravel said something batshit crazy; Richardson talked about New Mexico; Biden said you can’t ship Richardson back to Mexico; and Kucinich called for the deployment of an all-butterfly army.”

— Stephen Colbert