At the age of eighty-eight, after four children and a long and respected career as one of the twentieth century’s most influential scientists, James Lovelock has come to an unsettling conclusion: The human race is doomed. “I wish I could be more hopeful,” he tells me one sunny morning as we walk through a park in Oslo, where he is giving a talk at a university. Lovelock is a small man, unfailingly polite, with white hair and round, owlish glasses. His step is jaunty, his mind lively, his manner anything but gloomy. In fact, the coming of the Four Horsemen — war, famine, pestilence and death — seems to perk him up. “It will be a dark time,” Lovelock admits. “But for those who survive, I suspect it will be rather exciting.”
In Lovelock’s view, the scale of the catastrophe that awaits us will soon become obvious. By 2020, droughts and other extreme weather will be commonplace. By 2040, the Sahara will be moving into Europe, and Berlin will be as hot as Baghdad. Atlanta will end up a kudzu jungle. Phoenix will become uninhabitable, as will parts of Beijing (desert), Miami (rising seas) and London (floods). Food shortages will drive millions of people north, raising political tensions. “The Chinese have nowhere to go but up into Siberia,” Lovelock says. “How will the Russians feel about that? I fear that war between Russia and China is probably inevitable.” With hardship and mass migrations will come epidemics, which are likely to kill millions. By 2100, Lovelock believes, the Earth’s population will be culled from today’s 6.6 billion to as few as 500 million, with most of the survivors living in the far latitudes — Canada, Iceland, Scandinavia, the Arctic Basin.
That’s the first two paragraphs of “The Prophet of Climate Change: James Lovelock” in the new issue of Rolling Stone.
Moral of the story: The planet will recover. Civilization won’t.
But on the good side, Phoenix is already uninhabitable, so no change there.
Unfortunately, I agree with him. I wouldn’t say the human race is doomed, exactly, but rather that the world as we know it will end. As Eliot said, “not with a bang, but a whimper.” Who knows? Maybe it will ultimately be a good thing. Maybe the survivors will have a better attitude about their place in the natural order.
http://www.dailymotion.com/songsterhiragana/video/x398cu_global-warming-song-how-on-earth
A song i wrote in response to Lovelock’s ideas, agreeing with him. HOW ON EARTH. my blog on Polar Cities also is directly inspired by Lovelock’s idea of breeding pairs in the Arctic…. http://climatechange3000.blogspot.com
Ken
read my blog and then blog on it here, pro or con. Do you think polar cities might be in humankind’s future, say year 2500 or so?