Atrios is on to something that NewMexiKen has been saying for a couple weeks — it’s not going to be that close.
There are moments of disconnect, when the reality on the ground diverges sufficiently from the media spin that people start realizing something’s up.
The sheer size of the crowds attending Kerry/Edwards rallies are impressive. Something’s happening here.
There’s something we used to hear a lot — that incumbents with under 50% approval ratings are in deep deep trouble. We haven’t heard it much since Bush dropped below 50.
In national polls, Kerry is almost always ahead. In electoral vote analysis, Kerry has consistently been ahead.
…. but they [the press] do seem to be doing a pretty good job of not mentioning the obvious — right now, Kerry’s ahead, and that isn’t good news for that other guy.
Anything less than a Kerry landslide will be unsatisfying to me. We need to send a message to a party that steals an election and then takes it as a mandate to shove their platform down the throats of hardworking Americans.
I’d like to see a landslide, too, but I’ll be perfectly content with a clear win of any margin.